ROOOT · THE BELIEF BOARD

What the crowd believed,
against what the money believed.

ROOOT is a free live match companion. Pick an end, call the score, cheer, predict in play. Every call is stamped with the live de-vigged market price at that second and resolved at the whistle. It ran live through the 2026 World Cup.

OPEN THE LIVE PRODUCT WALKTHROUGH WHAT IT COLLECTS

WHAT IT IS

A live match companion on your phone. Free, no account, no wallet, no download. The stands, from your couch.

WHAT IT DOES

Turns fan opinion into measurement: side, scoreline, conviction and in-play calls, each stamped against the market price and settled by the wire.

WHO IT IS FOR

Fans, free and forever. Then broadcasters, sponsors and sports-data companies, who own the market half of that ledger and can buy the fan half nowhere.

01 · THE ASYMMETRY

Every match produces two convictions. One is sold. The other disappears.

The money's belief is measured to the tick and licensed by a $2.13bn industry. The crowd's is gone at the whistle.

THE MEASURED HALF

Sportradar took €1.29bn in FY2025, Genius Sports $669.5m. Every tick of the market's opinion is captured, archived and licensed to sportsbooks, leagues and broadcasters.

Sportradar spent €404.3m on sport rights last year — more than its entire payroll. Genius carries $1.51bn in contracted future rights, 2.26× annual revenue.

THE MISSING HALF

What stands in for crowd belief today is scraped social noise, pre-match polls that stop at kickoff, and betting flow — which only sees people who staked, only after they staked, and only at one book.

Nobody can say what a crowd believed at the 89th minute.

WHY NOBODY HAS IT

The apps holding fan predictions can't sell them. Sofascore: "due to agreements with our data providers, we are unable to share the data sources." Sportradar's media addendum bars customers from creating "any new or derivative data points, whatsoever."

And a business that converts opinion into a wager can't sell that opinion as an independent measurement.

02 · WHAT THE ALPHA MEASURED

We alpha-tested the prototype across five live World Cup matches, including the final, and proved the mechanism end to end.

Every figure below regenerates from its committed capture with one command.

15,383

MARKET TICKS DE-VIGGED & STAMPED

SWINGS OF 6PT OR MORE

GOALS PARSED FROM THE WIRE

+59.9pt

MEAN GAP: FANS ABOVE THE MARKET ON THEIR OWN SIDE

RECORDS SEALED ON-CHAIN AT THE WHISTLE

THE MARKET MOVES. THE CROWD IS LOCKED.

England–Argentina, the semifinal. Argentina's de-vigged price through the match, against the crowd's call, fixed at kickoff.

Argentina opened at 31.1% and closed at 96.4%, through 28 lead changes and a +74.2pt jump on the 91′ winner.

FANS BACK THEIR OWN SIDE

Each end's own-win share minus the market's price for that side at kickoff.

Six fanbases called their own side higher than the market did, by +59.9pt on average. The one that didn’t — Belgium’s end, calling a draw — lost.

THE FINAL, COLLECTED

Spain 1–0 Argentina, 19 July — decided in extra time.

FANS PRESENT21

CHEERS GRANTED89

WATCH-MINUTES465

ARRIVAL WAVES14

Counted server-side: a cheer scores only if the rate limiter granted it, and a minute means open presence, not claimed attention.

HOW WILD THE NIGHT WAS

Total tick-to-tick movement across the whole belief curve.

The semifinal churned four times harder than the premiere and changed favourite 28 times.

03 · WHO PAYS, AND FOR WHAT

Measurement sells first. The trading test comes next.

BROADCASTERS & SPONSORS

In-play graphics run on odds alone today. The gap is a story: the market gives Argentina 96%, and Argentina's end still isn't sure. For sponsors it is consented audience measurement of the fans who never bet.

Sold as a content and audience licence. No gambling adjacency.

SPORTS-DATA COMPANIES

A new product line with no rights fee, down a pipe that already reaches every trading floor. Rights are the industry's biggest cost; this data is generated by its own users, so there is no league to outbid and no exclusivity to renew.

The barrier to copying it is building a consumer product fans love first.

TRADING DESKSNEXT

Bet flow only sees people who staked. The fans who never bet are invisible to it, and they are the majority of any crowd. Whether that cohort's belief carries information on top of the de-vigged price is the question we are set up to answer.

The test: one fixture at n≥5,000, a point-in-time claim file, out-of-sample Brier score with the crowd term lagged.

04 · WHAT MORE CROWD PRODUCES

These need volume, not new features.

Drawn here as examples.

FANBASE FINGERPRINTEXAMPLE

A season of nights gives each fanbase a signature that accrues instead of resetting.

One fanbase runs hot and wrong, another cold and sharp. That comparison is the sellable unit.

DIVERGENCE BY MINUTEEXAMPLE

With thousands of fans per end, the gap becomes a live series instead of one number per match.

A broadcaster can cut to it live: the Argentina end stopped believing at 63′, eleven minutes before the price did.

05 · THE RECEIPTS

Each match seals into one record, hashed at the whistle and anchored on devnet.

THE SEALS

ESP 1–0 ARG · 19 JUL · THE FINAL79f4182e… LIVE ON DEVNET

FRA 4–6 ENG · 18 JUL8a1cac7d… LIVE ON DEVNET

ENG 1–2 ARG · 15 JULde9c9ea4…

ESP 2–1 BEL · 10 JUL1a3e5763…

Every hash regenerates from its capture: node scripts/night-report.mjs <capture>. Open the live one →

WHAT RUNS

SURFACESSeven, live on rooot.club

INGESTOne service, TxLINE odds + scores

RELEASE GATETwo-browser canary, 14 checks

REPLAYRecorded matches, live parser

CHAINSolana devnet. No token, no wager

BUILT BYOne person and a fleet of agents

Five live match nights operated end to end — capture, stamp, resolve, seal.

What the crowd believed,against what the money believed.